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The UK’s fiscal watchdog is preparing to identify Brexit as a significant contributor to the country’s economic challenges in its upcoming Budget assessment. According to government sources, the Office for Budget Responsibility will downgrade productivity growth estimates, creating additional pressure for Chancellor Rachel Reeves. The development marks a return of Brexit to political discourse after years of being treated as taboo.
The UK’s independent fiscal watchdog will reportedly attribute a significant portion of the country’s economic challenges to Brexit in its upcoming Budget assessment, according to government officials familiar with the matter. The Office for Budget Responsibility is preparing to downgrade its productivity growth estimates and identify both Brexit and the COVID-19 pandemic as contributing factors to the substantial gap in public finances.
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The UK government has reportedly shifted its public stance on Brexit’s economic consequences, with ministers now openly discussing trade-related productivity downgrades. This change comes as the Chancellor prepares for November’s budget amid calls for fiscal adjustments.
The UK Chancellor has reportedly attributed long-term economic damage to the current Brexit deal in high-level international discussions, according to sources familiar with the matter. This represents a notable departure from the previous reluctance to emphasize Brexit’s economic downsides, with ministers becoming increasingly vocal about these concerns since last month’s conference.
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